Rachel Reeves stood at the despatch box and told the country she would not raise taxes "on working people." Then she did the next best thing. She froze the thresholds. The Personal Allowance has been stuck at £12,570 since 2021. The 40p threshold has not budged. They will stay frozen until at least 2028. And every year, as wages and prices creep up, more of your money goes to the Treasury without a single ministerial signature on a tax rise.
That is fiscal drag. It is a tax rise. They just don't call it one.
What Frozen Thresholds Actually Mean
Imagine a nurse on £30,000 in 2021. With inflation, that same job now pays maybe £36,000 just to stand still. But the threshold for higher-rate tax has not moved. So a slightly bigger slice of her wage now disappears in tax than it did when she started. She has not had a real-terms pay rise. She has had a real-terms tax rise. Multiply that across millions of teachers, police officers, plumbers, council workers and small business owners, and you have one of the largest stealth tax raids in modern British history.
The Resolution Foundation has been blunt: even with no rate rises in 2026-27, households will be paying more tax than they did the year before. The Joseph Rowntree Foundation says incomes are projected to fall by £580 over the next three years. April 2026 will probably be the high point of the decade. Things are not getting better. They are quietly getting worse.
The Sleight of Hand
Labour's defenders will point at the National Living Wage rising from £11.44 to £12.21 — a 6.7% bump. They'll point at the £150 reduction in energy bills (more on that fiction another day). They'll point at the abolition of the two-child benefit cap. None of these things are nothing. But they do not begin to offset the cumulative effect of frozen allowances on a working population whose wages, in nominal terms, are slowly creeping into ever-higher tax brackets.
And here's the trick. Because the government can keep saying "we haven't raised income tax," the headline news is benign. The reality on payslips is anything but. This is taxation by stealth, and it falls hardest on people who have already been squeezed for a decade.
Rents, Bills and the Pressure on Families
Now layer on the rest of the cost picture. Private rents are 20% higher than they were when Local Housing Allowance was last linked to market rates. Council tax has gone up across England, including for residents in my own patch in Preston. Water bills are rising at the fastest rate in twenty years. Food inflation is back above target. The "cost of living crisis" did not end. The government just stopped using the phrase.
Families I speak to in Preston East are not asking for handouts. They are asking why, after working harder and longer than ever, they keep getting poorer. The answer is simple: their wages are taxed at higher and higher effective rates while every fixed cost in their lives keeps climbing. That is not an economic recovery. That is managed decline.
What Reform UK Would Do
Reform UK would lift the income tax personal allowance to £20,000. We would index thresholds to inflation, ending the fiscal drag racket once and for all. We would scrap the costly net zero levies driving up energy costs and replace them with serious investment in domestic gas, nuclear and grid resilience. We would cut Whitehall waste rather than middle-class incomes.
Critics will say this is unaffordable. They said the same about every tax cut in living memory, and were wrong every time. The British public are taxed quite enough. The state is not. Reform UK is the only party in Westminster prepared to say so out loud.